ChanceBot

In addition to tracking Wins, Losses, Draws, Bonus Points and Points, ChanceBot generates a unique set of statistics by simulating and rerunning the remainder numerous times. As the simulations run, the results are tracked and tallied to generate statistics which summarize how each team fared across all the simulations. These statistics are explained below.

Note that all probabilities are shown as a percentage.

Projected Points - This value is the projected number of points by a team, based on their points to date, their Power Rating and their remaining schedule.

Points Scored - Points scored in games played to date

Points Allowed - Points scored in games played to date

Division % - Chancebot's calculation of a team's chance of winning its division.

Wild-Card % - Chancebot's calculation of a team's chance qualifying for the playoffs with a wild-card berth.

Playoff Berth % - Chancebot's calculation of a team's total chance qualifying for the playoffs.

Crossover % - Chancebot's calculation of a team's chance qualifying for a crossover playoff berth.

Semi-Finals % - Chancebot's calculation of a team's total chance of reaching the semi-finals.

Finals % - Chancebot's calculation of a team's total chance of reaching the Grey Cup.

Championship % - Chancebot's calculation of a team's total chance of winning the Grey Cup.

Power - This stat provides a numerical estimate of relative team strength. The strongest team in the league will have a power rating of 0.00. All other teams will have a power rating relative to the top team. The value of a power rating gives the expected point deficit per game played against the league's top team at a neutral site.