ChanceBot

In addition to tracking Wins, Losses, Draws, Bonus Points and Points, ChanceBot generates a unique set of statistics by simulating and rerunning the remainder numerous times. As the simulations run, the results are tracked and tallied to generate statistics which summarize how each team fared across all the simulations. These statistics are explained below.

Note that all probabilities are shown as a percentage.

PPt - This value is the projected number of points by a team, based on their points to date, their Power Rating and their remaining schedule.

For/Against - Points for and against in games played to date (separated by a colon)

PO(HC) - Chancebot's calculation of a team's chance qualifying both for the playoffs and the Heineken Cup

LF - Chancebot's calculation of a team's chance of reaching the league's championship game.

LC - Chancebot's calculation of a team's chance of winning the league's championship game.

HC - Chancebot's calculation of a team's chance qualifying for just the Heineken Cup

HCT - Chancebot's calculation of a team's total chance of qualifying for the Heineken Cup.

Rel - Chancebot's calculation of a team's chance of being relegated.

Power - This stat provides a numerical estimate of relative team strength. The strongest team in the league will have a power rating of 0.00. All other teams will have a power rating relative to the top team. The value of a power rating gives the expected point deficit per game played against the league's top team at a neutral site.